The following are Euro 2020 betting picks where I agree with the results driven by my betting model. These are selected after careful review of the best available soccer betting lines and Euro 2020 odds.
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Euro 2020 Betting Preview: Picks, Odds, Predictions
Group C Betting Preview
Group C offers little in the way of exciting clubs. The heavy favorite is the Netherlands, coming in as a -205 favorite to win the group. They are a clear-cut favorite in reality, however, and all teams in this group have questions. Netherlands relies heavy on Memphis Depay, and they will need help from the likes of Luuk de Jong up front. It has been Georginio Wijnaldum that has been pulling the weigh in recent form for Netherlands, which is not reassuring. Netherlands averaged 14.5 shots per match and 2.13 goals per match in their last 12. The concern is their defense. They split games with Germany, allowing at least two goals in each. Turkey and Scotland pierced through the defense as well. So value might be in betting the actual games of this group, mainly the over 2.5 goals.
Group C Stage: Ukraine Top 2 (+100)
The two teams trailing behind Netherlands in the group are Austria and Ukraine, which rank side by side in FIFA, Nos. 23 and 24. Ukraine is a defense-first team with impressive draws against France, Finland and Serbia. They also have a win against Serbia 5-0 and a narrow win over Portugal. The competition has been there in preparation for Ukraine, and they are undefeated in 12 consecutive matches. Austria has not had the same success against better competition, with blowout defeats to Denmark and draws to Norway. They have split their most recent meetings against one another, and that is the deciding factor for who takes the second seed. Assuming both clubs lose to Netherlands and beat North Macedonia, Ukraine should edge out Austria given the better defense and slightly more proficient offense; Ukraine has 0.38 more goals per game and equal on-target accuracy despite fewer shots.
Group D Betting Preview
Similar to Group B, Group D is top heavy with England. England winning the group makes a solid parlay piece with Belgium winning their group. Croatia is a World Cup runner-up and still has the leadership to advance with Luka Modric, and Ivan Perisic has played exceptionally for the nation. They have reinforcements in youth with Andrej Kramaric and look set on advancing by way of the second seed. The Czech Republic has the bad luck of being placed in this group, and the heroics of Tomas Soucek cannot help them even if the squeeze by as the third seed. Scotland has veterans in John McGinn and Andrew Robertson, but a lack of consistent scoring up front looks to have them eliminated early. With England and Croatia being the better side and odds at -1250 and -150 to advance as top two, look elsewhere for props in the group betting.
Total Goals in Group: England Over 5.5 (-139)
England has a history of falling short in big competitions. Even with an easier draw in the group stage, they cannot take matches off. They have posted two or more goals in 10 of their last 11 competitive matches. The loan game out was to Czech Republic following a 5-0 beatdown by England, so the let-off could have crept in. It should not come into play in the Euros, and England has also been able to score on two different occasions against world No. 1 Belgium. Croatia could be the hardest match in terms of scoring, but they have allowed goals to Armenia, Wales and Slovenia on multiple occasions. The top attack led by Harry Kane, who is also the favorite to lead the Euros in goal scoring, should be able to filter two through to the back of the net.
Group C Stage: Ukraine Top 2 (+100)
Total Goals in Group: England O5.5 (-139)
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